Tips For Wednesday

Wednesday - 6th August 2008
9.15 a.m. - Malaysian Time

Yesterday the CPO ( crude palm oil ) futures for October contract open at 2750 and closed at 2750. The highest was at 2787 and the lowest was at 2700.

The market open at 2750 which was far below than the forecasted level. So , theoretically, there was no money to be made yesterday. It is better not to enter the market rather than entering the market without proper analysis and at the end of the day, you end up losing money.As for trendlines, there was a pattern of 3 tops that occurred before lunch time but it was not a clear one. Any way a clear pattern of 2 bottoms had happened after lunch at about 4.30 p.m.If you are not familiar with trendlines....just stay away from it as it would be quite confusing to recognise the different between 2 bottoms and 3 bottoms.

Today

So how about today? If you look at the chart, the Japanese candle stick, yesterday's bar was a doji and quite a long one. It simply means that the market is in the indecision position which is neither bullish nor bearish. Anyway the direction of the market would be implied by today's opening position. So, in the long run the market is still bearish and so is the very very short run.

1) If the market opens between 2712 to 2760. Sell after the market has moved up between 12 to 22 points from the opening. As usual becareful if the market moves up in a very fast and in a very steep gradient after opening, it could be a false alarm. If the market manages to break the level between 2771 to 2777, the market may go further up especially if the market opens more towards the upper part of the 2712 to 2760 level. If the market moves further up again and manages to beat the level between 2785 to 2790, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of it.Also make sure that the opening point is not within the 12 to 22 points from the level 2771 to 2778 .If the market manages to beat down the level between 2693 to 2700, the market may retrace further down especially if the market opens more towards the 2712 to 2760 level. If this happens, the market is expected to rebounce in short time.

2) If the market open between 2760 to 2771. Buy after the market has moved up passing the level between 2771 to 2778.

3) If the market opens between 2700 to 2712. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 2693 to 2700.

4) If the market opens between 2771 to 2795. Buy after the market has retraced a bit and then move up beating 3 points above the opening point.

5) If the market opens between 2675 to 2700. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls down 4 points below the opening level. Be careful here, the market may fall a bit and is expected to rebounce at any time.

6) If the market opens other than the above , it is your call.

7) You can also look for a clear pattern of trendlines such as 3 tops/bottoms......If you are not familiar with trendlines .....just stay away.

8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )

9) Also refer to #9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )

That's it, man. Have fun and don't be too serious. Some say, if the money is yours it would be yours if not it would be not.

Have a nice trading day!!!!!!!!

Tuesday's Expectation

Tuesday - 5th August 2008
8.45 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 2850 and closed at 2890 yesterday. The highest was at 2897 and the lowest was at 2820. It looked like the market was in the stage of reboucing from the last low.

Today

Yesterday, the market ended up a white bar and the indication is that the market should be in the positive position now. Anyway, the market direction would be determined by the opening of the day ( this is the strategy which is being used in this blog ). In long run, the market is still bearish but in the very very short term, the market, I beleive, is now in bullish sentiment. So my forecast for today ;

1) If the market opens between 2855 to 2888. Buy after the market has fallen a bit after opening ( between 9 to 19 points - stop loss of between 10 to 20 points ). Be careful if the market opens and starts to retrace down in a very fast and sharp gradient, it could be a false alarm.

If the market manages to break down the level between 2837 to 2844, the market may retrace further and a black bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day. This would be more prominent if the market opens more towards the lower part of the ' 2855 to 2888' level. If the market manages to beat up the level between 2897 to 2905, the market may end a white bar today or at least in the early part of the trading day especially if the opening is more towards the upper part of the ' 2855 to 2888' level.

2) If the market opens between 2897 to 2925. Buy after the market has fallen a bit and moved up 3 points above the opening level.

3) If the market opens between 2820 to 2844. Do as in # 2 but in the opposite way

4) If the market opens between 2888 to 2897. Buy after the market has beaten up the level between 2897 to 2904.

5) If the market opens between 2844 to 2855 . Sell after the market has beaten down the level between 2838 to 2844.

6) If the market opens above 2925. It is your call.

7) If the market opens below 2820. It is again your call, I am not sure guys!

8) Look also for a clear pattern of trendlines such as 3 tops etc....

9) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )

10) Also refer to # 9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )

Besides than the above strategy, there are other strategies that are currently being used to determine the market's direction which are quite hard to reveal here due to some reasons.

That's about it , if you are not sure just consult your broker. On what ever circumtances never to contact your brother-in-law.

Have a nice trading day!!!!

Tuesday

Tuesday - 29th July 2008
12.15 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3120 and closed lower at 3001 yesterday. The highest was at 3162 and the lowest was at 3001.

The market open at 3120 , retraced to 3112 in a stable market movement and shot up beating the opening level to reach the highest of the day at 3162 at noon. The market then settled at 3150 before lunch break. Anyway, in the afternoon the market retraced down to settle at 3001. The daily market different was 161 points.

If you look at my forecast yesterday, ( see # 3 ), the market open between the range 3116 to 3137, as indicated in one of my forecasated areas, and had a buy position been placed after 'the market had fallen a bit and moved up 3 points from opening level', you would have made quite a good profits as the market kept moving up to the highest of the day.There would be about 40 points profits incured - unless if you had decided to sell early, you would still have been able to make some profits. Frankly speaking I was expecting a white bar yesterday.

Today

Due to some reasons, and as usual, I am not able to make any forecastings for today.

Have a nice trading day!!!!!

Monday's Tips

Monday - 28th July 2008
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO (crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3113 and closed at 3070 last Friday. The highest was at 3116 and the lowest was at 3065.

Today

In short, the market, in a very very short term, is still bearish. The forecast for today is as follows ;

1) If the market opens between 3068 to 3088 . Buy if the market beats the level between 3088 to 3095. If the market manages to beat up the level between 3116 to 3122, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today.
Sell if the market beats down the level between 3060 to 3068.Becareful here, the market may fall further a bit and may rebounce.

2) If the market opens between 3088 to 3116 .Buy after the market has fallen a bit and move up 3 points from opening level or buy after the market has moved up 5 points from opening.

3) If the market opens between 3116 to 3137. Buy after the market has fallen a 'bit' and move up 3 points from the opening level.

4) If the market open between 3045 to 3068. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls back beating 3 points below the opening level.Becareful the market may rebounce at any time.

5) If the market opens above 3137 but below 3143. It is your call but I think the market may end a white bar today.

6) If the market opens below 3045. It is your call.

7) You can look also for a clear pattern of trendlines

8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )

9) Also refer to # 9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )

That's it, my forecast. If not sure just contact your broker

Have a nice trading day!!!!!

Friday ?

Friday - 25th July 2008
8.55 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3041 and closed at 3113 yesterday. The highest was at 3127 and the lowest was at 3041.

Immediately after opening, the market started to move up in a very fast and in a very steep gradient and when it reached 3070, the market was a little bit stable before going up again to 3080 ( at about 10.35 a.m. ). At this level the market was a bit "ding-donging' before it fell to the level 3062 ( at about 11.00 a.m. ). The market then moved up again to close at 3084 for the morning session. The market open at 3074 in the afternoon session, continued to move up and finally settled at 3113.

If you look at my forecast yesterday ( see #1 ), the market managed to beat up the level 3126 and it did end up a white bar eve nthough this happened almost at the end of the trading day. In my forecast I also did mention to sell 'after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points from the opening level' ( and a stop loss of 20 to 40 points ). Since the market, after opening has moved up in 'a fast and in a steep gradient '( see # 9c dated 26th June ), it was not adviseable to put a sell here. Had a sell position been placed, say at 3070 ( because there was a market stability here )or below you would have ended up losing money but had you placed a sell at about 3075 ( after the market has retraced from the level 3080 - at about 10.40 a.m.), you might have ended making a small profits of at least 10 points. Well , it is easier to say when things have already happened, don't you think so ?

Today

What I have been forecasting for this week have not been fruitful to my expectation, so today I feel like wanting not to say anything on today's market performance. I also feel like wanting to yell and shout aloud .....I would probably do so if I am to live in a jungle..something like Tarzan.

Have a nice trading day today!!!!

Thursday - 24/7/08

Thursday - 24th July 2008
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3210 and closed at 3027. The highest was at 3211 and the lowest was at 3027.

The market open and moved up to 3211 in a short time and immediately fell down to 3219 before rebounced to 3151 at noon and after that the market started to decelerate to the lowest of the morning session and settled at 3062.In the afternoon the market open at 3095 and finally settled at 3027, the lowest of the day. It was one of the longest rally ever seen, if I am not mistaken, with a different of 184 points. If you trade Soybean Oil in CBOT, if I am not mistaken again, there is a limit to your trading which means if the market moves within a certain points, the market will be temporarily suspended but , it seems, it is not so in Malaysia. So, be very careful!

The market did not open within my forecast, so theoretically, there was no money been accumulated yesterday. In fact the market open far below my forecasted area. Frankly speaking, I was expecting the market to move up yesterday even though the Soybean Oil and Crude Oil futures in CBOT were bearish. The reason being that the market has been bearish for "quite sometimes". Well, I was wrong.

Today

Still interested to know what is my forecast for today? Normally, being a small time investor, I do not normally trade in this kind of situation ( a different of more than 100 points a day) because if I do, I have to place a bigger stop loss between 20 to 40 points which I do not think I can afford it. In normal circumtances I would place between 10 to 15 points per trade. Anyway , my forecast would as follows ;

1) If the market opens between 3040 to 3113. Sell after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points after opening. If the market managed to beat up the level between 3126 to 3135, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading. This would be more prominent if the market opens more towards the upper part of "3040 to 3113 "level. If the market manages to beat down the level between 3027 to 3040, the market may fall further especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the " 3040 to 3113" level.

2) If the market opens between 3113 to 3126. Buy after the market has beaten the level between 3126 to 3134.

3) If the market opens between 3027 to 3040. Sell after the market has beaten the level between 3020.

4) If the market opens between 3126 to 3150. Buy after the market has moved down a bit and moves up passing 8 points the opening level. If , after opening, the market does not retrace but instead keep moving up, you could long here ( only experience trader may be able to recognise this, if not, just stay away from the market )

5) If the market opens between 3000 to 3027. The market may fall and rebounce later.

6) Other than the above, it is your call, I have no idea at the moment.

7) Your stop loss should be around 20 to 40 points.

8) May be you could trade in the afternoon if the morning session is not that volatile ( below 100 points - but you cannot use the method as above )

9) Besides, or you could also look for trendlines especially the 2 or 3 Bottoms Pattern

10) Refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )

11) Also refer to #9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )

That's about it, I may be wrong and I have been wrong-ed quite many times and I .........blah blah blah

Have a nice trading day

Wednesday's Forecast

Wednesday - 23th July 2008
9.25 a.m. - Malaysian Time

The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3230 and closed at 3252 yesterday. The highest was at 3294 and the lowest was at 3225.
After opening, the market moved up steadily to reach 3251 before retracing down to the lowest of the day at 3225 before bouncing back to almost the highest of the morning session at 3273 ( the highest was at 3274 ). In the afternoon session, the market open at 3285, retraced a bit to 3272 and then shot up to the highest of the day at 3294 before settling down at 3252.

If you look my forecast yesterday at # 3, it indicated to "sell after the market has passed down the level between 3218 to 3226 ". There were 2 options here ; 1 ) Had you decided to sell at 3226 or 3225 then you would have ended up losing your money 2) Had you decided to sell other than the 2 levels mentioned above, then you would have ended up with nothing to loose. As for me, I managed to short at 3225 with a stop loss at 3237. Immediately after that, the market started to move up and never to turn back anymore and my stop loss triggered at 3240. So, I was poorer by 15 points! Well, that's it, you can't win them all! Anyway the market did end up a white bar . ( refer to # 2 ) . As for trendlines, there were no clear pattern of any signs yesterday.

Today

So, are you still interested to know my forecast for today ? Well, the market in a very very short term is now bullish. So my forecast ;

1) If the market opens between 3254 to 3283. Buy after the market has fallen a bit probably between 9 to 19 points after opening. Be careful if the market manages to beat down the level between 3237 to 3245 especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the "3245 to 3283" levels. If this happens, the market may retrace down but the market may rebounce back probably around the level between 3220 to 3240. If it does not, then it would retrace further down.If the market manages to beat up the level between 3294 to 3300, especially if the market opens more towards the upper end of "3254 to 3282 " level, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.

2) If the market opens between 3283 to 3294. Buy after the market has moved up passing the level between 3294 to 3300. If this happens, see the bold letters as in #1

3) If the market opens between 3245 to 3254. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 3237 to 3245. Just be careful the market may rebounce probably around the level 3220 to 3240.If this does not happen, the market may drift further down .If not sure, just stay away from the market.

4) If the market opens between 3294 to 3330. Buy after has fallen down a bit and started to move up passing 3 points above the opening points. See the bold letters as in # 1as above.

5) If the market opens other than the above . It is your call , I don't know, man.

6) Besides or if you feel not wanting to follow all of the above, you can also look for a clear pattern of trendlines especially the 3 bottoms in afternoon session.

7) At the end of the day, if the market, after passing up the level between 3294 to 3300, does not end a white bar, the market may be in sidelines from now on.

8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thusrday's Tips dated 26th June )

9) Also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )

That's about it. If you are undecided kindly contact your broker, never to contact any of your "bomohs" as these people are nothing but $%#@!&^*..

Have a nice trading day!

Any way if you happens to know any bomoh who can focus the direction of the market, may can contact me lah......