Tuesday - 29th July 2008
12.15 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3120 and closed lower at 3001 yesterday. The highest was at 3162 and the lowest was at 3001.
The market open at 3120 , retraced to 3112 in a stable market movement and shot up beating the opening level to reach the highest of the day at 3162 at noon. The market then settled at 3150 before lunch break. Anyway, in the afternoon the market retraced down to settle at 3001. The daily market different was 161 points.
If you look at my forecast yesterday, ( see # 3 ), the market open between the range 3116 to 3137, as indicated in one of my forecasated areas, and had a buy position been placed after 'the market had fallen a bit and moved up 3 points from opening level', you would have made quite a good profits as the market kept moving up to the highest of the day.There would be about 40 points profits incured - unless if you had decided to sell early, you would still have been able to make some profits. Frankly speaking I was expecting a white bar yesterday.
Today
Due to some reasons, and as usual, I am not able to make any forecastings for today.
Have a nice trading day!!!!!
Monday, July 28, 2008
Monday's Tips
Monday - 28th July 2008
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO (crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3113 and closed at 3070 last Friday. The highest was at 3116 and the lowest was at 3065.
Today
In short, the market, in a very very short term, is still bearish. The forecast for today is as follows ;
1) If the market opens between 3068 to 3088 . Buy if the market beats the level between 3088 to 3095. If the market manages to beat up the level between 3116 to 3122, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today.
Sell if the market beats down the level between 3060 to 3068.Becareful here, the market may fall further a bit and may rebounce.
2) If the market opens between 3088 to 3116 .Buy after the market has fallen a bit and move up 3 points from opening level or buy after the market has moved up 5 points from opening.
3) If the market opens between 3116 to 3137. Buy after the market has fallen a 'bit' and move up 3 points from the opening level.
4) If the market open between 3045 to 3068. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls back beating 3 points below the opening level.Becareful the market may rebounce at any time.
5) If the market opens above 3137 but below 3143. It is your call but I think the market may end a white bar today.
6) If the market opens below 3045. It is your call.
7) You can look also for a clear pattern of trendlines
8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
9) Also refer to # 9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's it, my forecast. If not sure just contact your broker
Have a nice trading day!!!!!
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO (crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3113 and closed at 3070 last Friday. The highest was at 3116 and the lowest was at 3065.
Today
In short, the market, in a very very short term, is still bearish. The forecast for today is as follows ;
1) If the market opens between 3068 to 3088 . Buy if the market beats the level between 3088 to 3095. If the market manages to beat up the level between 3116 to 3122, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today.
Sell if the market beats down the level between 3060 to 3068.Becareful here, the market may fall further a bit and may rebounce.
2) If the market opens between 3088 to 3116 .Buy after the market has fallen a bit and move up 3 points from opening level or buy after the market has moved up 5 points from opening.
3) If the market opens between 3116 to 3137. Buy after the market has fallen a 'bit' and move up 3 points from the opening level.
4) If the market open between 3045 to 3068. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls back beating 3 points below the opening level.Becareful the market may rebounce at any time.
5) If the market opens above 3137 but below 3143. It is your call but I think the market may end a white bar today.
6) If the market opens below 3045. It is your call.
7) You can look also for a clear pattern of trendlines
8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
9) Also refer to # 9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's it, my forecast. If not sure just contact your broker
Have a nice trading day!!!!!
Friday, July 25, 2008
Friday ?
Friday - 25th July 2008
8.55 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3041 and closed at 3113 yesterday. The highest was at 3127 and the lowest was at 3041.
Immediately after opening, the market started to move up in a very fast and in a very steep gradient and when it reached 3070, the market was a little bit stable before going up again to 3080 ( at about 10.35 a.m. ). At this level the market was a bit "ding-donging' before it fell to the level 3062 ( at about 11.00 a.m. ). The market then moved up again to close at 3084 for the morning session. The market open at 3074 in the afternoon session, continued to move up and finally settled at 3113.
If you look at my forecast yesterday ( see #1 ), the market managed to beat up the level 3126 and it did end up a white bar eve nthough this happened almost at the end of the trading day. In my forecast I also did mention to sell 'after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points from the opening level' ( and a stop loss of 20 to 40 points ). Since the market, after opening has moved up in 'a fast and in a steep gradient '( see # 9c dated 26th June ), it was not adviseable to put a sell here. Had a sell position been placed, say at 3070 ( because there was a market stability here )or below you would have ended up losing money but had you placed a sell at about 3075 ( after the market has retraced from the level 3080 - at about 10.40 a.m.), you might have ended making a small profits of at least 10 points. Well , it is easier to say when things have already happened, don't you think so ?
Today
What I have been forecasting for this week have not been fruitful to my expectation, so today I feel like wanting not to say anything on today's market performance. I also feel like wanting to yell and shout aloud .....I would probably do so if I am to live in a jungle..something like Tarzan.
Have a nice trading day today!!!!
8.55 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3041 and closed at 3113 yesterday. The highest was at 3127 and the lowest was at 3041.
Immediately after opening, the market started to move up in a very fast and in a very steep gradient and when it reached 3070, the market was a little bit stable before going up again to 3080 ( at about 10.35 a.m. ). At this level the market was a bit "ding-donging' before it fell to the level 3062 ( at about 11.00 a.m. ). The market then moved up again to close at 3084 for the morning session. The market open at 3074 in the afternoon session, continued to move up and finally settled at 3113.
If you look at my forecast yesterday ( see #1 ), the market managed to beat up the level 3126 and it did end up a white bar eve nthough this happened almost at the end of the trading day. In my forecast I also did mention to sell 'after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points from the opening level' ( and a stop loss of 20 to 40 points ). Since the market, after opening has moved up in 'a fast and in a steep gradient '( see # 9c dated 26th June ), it was not adviseable to put a sell here. Had a sell position been placed, say at 3070 ( because there was a market stability here )or below you would have ended up losing money but had you placed a sell at about 3075 ( after the market has retraced from the level 3080 - at about 10.40 a.m.), you might have ended making a small profits of at least 10 points. Well , it is easier to say when things have already happened, don't you think so ?
Today
What I have been forecasting for this week have not been fruitful to my expectation, so today I feel like wanting not to say anything on today's market performance. I also feel like wanting to yell and shout aloud .....I would probably do so if I am to live in a jungle..something like Tarzan.
Have a nice trading day today!!!!
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Thursday - 24/7/08
Thursday - 24th July 2008
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3210 and closed at 3027. The highest was at 3211 and the lowest was at 3027.
The market open and moved up to 3211 in a short time and immediately fell down to 3219 before rebounced to 3151 at noon and after that the market started to decelerate to the lowest of the morning session and settled at 3062.In the afternoon the market open at 3095 and finally settled at 3027, the lowest of the day. It was one of the longest rally ever seen, if I am not mistaken, with a different of 184 points. If you trade Soybean Oil in CBOT, if I am not mistaken again, there is a limit to your trading which means if the market moves within a certain points, the market will be temporarily suspended but , it seems, it is not so in Malaysia. So, be very careful!
The market did not open within my forecast, so theoretically, there was no money been accumulated yesterday. In fact the market open far below my forecasted area. Frankly speaking, I was expecting the market to move up yesterday even though the Soybean Oil and Crude Oil futures in CBOT were bearish. The reason being that the market has been bearish for "quite sometimes". Well, I was wrong.
Today
Still interested to know what is my forecast for today? Normally, being a small time investor, I do not normally trade in this kind of situation ( a different of more than 100 points a day) because if I do, I have to place a bigger stop loss between 20 to 40 points which I do not think I can afford it. In normal circumtances I would place between 10 to 15 points per trade. Anyway , my forecast would as follows ;
1) If the market opens between 3040 to 3113. Sell after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points after opening. If the market managed to beat up the level between 3126 to 3135, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading. This would be more prominent if the market opens more towards the upper part of "3040 to 3113 "level. If the market manages to beat down the level between 3027 to 3040, the market may fall further especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the " 3040 to 3113" level.
2) If the market opens between 3113 to 3126. Buy after the market has beaten the level between 3126 to 3134.
3) If the market opens between 3027 to 3040. Sell after the market has beaten the level between 3020.
4) If the market opens between 3126 to 3150. Buy after the market has moved down a bit and moves up passing 8 points the opening level. If , after opening, the market does not retrace but instead keep moving up, you could long here ( only experience trader may be able to recognise this, if not, just stay away from the market )
5) If the market opens between 3000 to 3027. The market may fall and rebounce later.
6) Other than the above, it is your call, I have no idea at the moment.
7) Your stop loss should be around 20 to 40 points.
8) May be you could trade in the afternoon if the morning session is not that volatile ( below 100 points - but you cannot use the method as above )
9) Besides, or you could also look for trendlines especially the 2 or 3 Bottoms Pattern
10) Refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
11) Also refer to #9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it, I may be wrong and I have been wrong-ed quite many times and I .........blah blah blah
Have a nice trading day
9.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3210 and closed at 3027. The highest was at 3211 and the lowest was at 3027.
The market open and moved up to 3211 in a short time and immediately fell down to 3219 before rebounced to 3151 at noon and after that the market started to decelerate to the lowest of the morning session and settled at 3062.In the afternoon the market open at 3095 and finally settled at 3027, the lowest of the day. It was one of the longest rally ever seen, if I am not mistaken, with a different of 184 points. If you trade Soybean Oil in CBOT, if I am not mistaken again, there is a limit to your trading which means if the market moves within a certain points, the market will be temporarily suspended but , it seems, it is not so in Malaysia. So, be very careful!
The market did not open within my forecast, so theoretically, there was no money been accumulated yesterday. In fact the market open far below my forecasted area. Frankly speaking, I was expecting the market to move up yesterday even though the Soybean Oil and Crude Oil futures in CBOT were bearish. The reason being that the market has been bearish for "quite sometimes". Well, I was wrong.
Today
Still interested to know what is my forecast for today? Normally, being a small time investor, I do not normally trade in this kind of situation ( a different of more than 100 points a day) because if I do, I have to place a bigger stop loss between 20 to 40 points which I do not think I can afford it. In normal circumtances I would place between 10 to 15 points per trade. Anyway , my forecast would as follows ;
1) If the market opens between 3040 to 3113. Sell after the market has moved up 15 to 35 points after opening. If the market managed to beat up the level between 3126 to 3135, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading. This would be more prominent if the market opens more towards the upper part of "3040 to 3113 "level. If the market manages to beat down the level between 3027 to 3040, the market may fall further especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the " 3040 to 3113" level.
2) If the market opens between 3113 to 3126. Buy after the market has beaten the level between 3126 to 3134.
3) If the market opens between 3027 to 3040. Sell after the market has beaten the level between 3020.
4) If the market opens between 3126 to 3150. Buy after the market has moved down a bit and moves up passing 8 points the opening level. If , after opening, the market does not retrace but instead keep moving up, you could long here ( only experience trader may be able to recognise this, if not, just stay away from the market )
5) If the market opens between 3000 to 3027. The market may fall and rebounce later.
6) Other than the above, it is your call, I have no idea at the moment.
7) Your stop loss should be around 20 to 40 points.
8) May be you could trade in the afternoon if the morning session is not that volatile ( below 100 points - but you cannot use the method as above )
9) Besides, or you could also look for trendlines especially the 2 or 3 Bottoms Pattern
10) Refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
11) Also refer to #9 & # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it, I may be wrong and I have been wrong-ed quite many times and I .........blah blah blah
Have a nice trading day
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Wednesday's Forecast
Wednesday - 23th July 2008
9.25 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3230 and closed at 3252 yesterday. The highest was at 3294 and the lowest was at 3225.
After opening, the market moved up steadily to reach 3251 before retracing down to the lowest of the day at 3225 before bouncing back to almost the highest of the morning session at 3273 ( the highest was at 3274 ). In the afternoon session, the market open at 3285, retraced a bit to 3272 and then shot up to the highest of the day at 3294 before settling down at 3252.
If you look my forecast yesterday at # 3, it indicated to "sell after the market has passed down the level between 3218 to 3226 ". There were 2 options here ; 1 ) Had you decided to sell at 3226 or 3225 then you would have ended up losing your money 2) Had you decided to sell other than the 2 levels mentioned above, then you would have ended up with nothing to loose. As for me, I managed to short at 3225 with a stop loss at 3237. Immediately after that, the market started to move up and never to turn back anymore and my stop loss triggered at 3240. So, I was poorer by 15 points! Well, that's it, you can't win them all! Anyway the market did end up a white bar . ( refer to # 2 ) . As for trendlines, there were no clear pattern of any signs yesterday.
Today
So, are you still interested to know my forecast for today ? Well, the market in a very very short term is now bullish. So my forecast ;
1) If the market opens between 3254 to 3283. Buy after the market has fallen a bit probably between 9 to 19 points after opening. Be careful if the market manages to beat down the level between 3237 to 3245 especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the "3245 to 3283" levels. If this happens, the market may retrace down but the market may rebounce back probably around the level between 3220 to 3240. If it does not, then it would retrace further down.If the market manages to beat up the level between 3294 to 3300, especially if the market opens more towards the upper end of "3254 to 3282 " level, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
2) If the market opens between 3283 to 3294. Buy after the market has moved up passing the level between 3294 to 3300. If this happens, see the bold letters as in #1
3) If the market opens between 3245 to 3254. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 3237 to 3245. Just be careful the market may rebounce probably around the level 3220 to 3240.If this does not happen, the market may drift further down .If not sure, just stay away from the market.
4) If the market opens between 3294 to 3330. Buy after has fallen down a bit and started to move up passing 3 points above the opening points. See the bold letters as in # 1as above.
5) If the market opens other than the above . It is your call , I don't know, man.
6) Besides or if you feel not wanting to follow all of the above, you can also look for a clear pattern of trendlines especially the 3 bottoms in afternoon session.
7) At the end of the day, if the market, after passing up the level between 3294 to 3300, does not end a white bar, the market may be in sidelines from now on.
8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thusrday's Tips dated 26th June )
9) Also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it. If you are undecided kindly contact your broker, never to contact any of your "bomohs" as these people are nothing but $%#@!&^*..
Have a nice trading day!
Any way if you happens to know any bomoh who can focus the direction of the market, may can contact me lah......
9.25 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October contract open at 3230 and closed at 3252 yesterday. The highest was at 3294 and the lowest was at 3225.
After opening, the market moved up steadily to reach 3251 before retracing down to the lowest of the day at 3225 before bouncing back to almost the highest of the morning session at 3273 ( the highest was at 3274 ). In the afternoon session, the market open at 3285, retraced a bit to 3272 and then shot up to the highest of the day at 3294 before settling down at 3252.
If you look my forecast yesterday at # 3, it indicated to "sell after the market has passed down the level between 3218 to 3226 ". There were 2 options here ; 1 ) Had you decided to sell at 3226 or 3225 then you would have ended up losing your money 2) Had you decided to sell other than the 2 levels mentioned above, then you would have ended up with nothing to loose. As for me, I managed to short at 3225 with a stop loss at 3237. Immediately after that, the market started to move up and never to turn back anymore and my stop loss triggered at 3240. So, I was poorer by 15 points! Well, that's it, you can't win them all! Anyway the market did end up a white bar . ( refer to # 2 ) . As for trendlines, there were no clear pattern of any signs yesterday.
Today
So, are you still interested to know my forecast for today ? Well, the market in a very very short term is now bullish. So my forecast ;
1) If the market opens between 3254 to 3283. Buy after the market has fallen a bit probably between 9 to 19 points after opening. Be careful if the market manages to beat down the level between 3237 to 3245 especially if the market opens more towards the lower end of the "3245 to 3283" levels. If this happens, the market may retrace down but the market may rebounce back probably around the level between 3220 to 3240. If it does not, then it would retrace further down.If the market manages to beat up the level between 3294 to 3300, especially if the market opens more towards the upper end of "3254 to 3282 " level, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
2) If the market opens between 3283 to 3294. Buy after the market has moved up passing the level between 3294 to 3300. If this happens, see the bold letters as in #1
3) If the market opens between 3245 to 3254. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 3237 to 3245. Just be careful the market may rebounce probably around the level 3220 to 3240.If this does not happen, the market may drift further down .If not sure, just stay away from the market.
4) If the market opens between 3294 to 3330. Buy after has fallen down a bit and started to move up passing 3 points above the opening points. See the bold letters as in # 1as above.
5) If the market opens other than the above . It is your call , I don't know, man.
6) Besides or if you feel not wanting to follow all of the above, you can also look for a clear pattern of trendlines especially the 3 bottoms in afternoon session.
7) At the end of the day, if the market, after passing up the level between 3294 to 3300, does not end a white bar, the market may be in sidelines from now on.
8) Please refer to # 9 ( Thusrday's Tips dated 26th June )
9) Also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it. If you are undecided kindly contact your broker, never to contact any of your "bomohs" as these people are nothing but $%#@!&^*..
Have a nice trading day!
Any way if you happens to know any bomoh who can focus the direction of the market, may can contact me lah......
Monday, July 21, 2008
Tuesday's Market
Tuesday - 22 July 2008
12.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October's contract open at 3320 and closed at 3260 yesterday. The highest was at 3335 and the lowest was at 3197.
The market open not within the forecasted analysis as put forward yesterday, so theoritically, there was no money made yesterday. Anyway, if you look at the trendlines, there was quite a clear pattern of 3 bottoms which occured at about 12.00 noon. Those who are not familiar with 2 or 3 bottoms are advised not to use this method as it may add to confusion at times.
Today
In a very short term, the market is still in bearish position. Anyway the direction of the market today may depend on the opening point ;
1) If the market opens between 3236 to 3274. Sell after the market has moved up between 9 to 20 points after opening of the market. Be careful if the market manages to beat up the level between 3284 to 3290, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day. This may be prominent if the opening is nearer to the upper end of the 3236 to 3274 level.Also careful, if the market, after opening, starts to move up in a very fast and in steep gradient and if this happens the market may continue to go up further or it could also be a false alarm.
If the market manages to break down the level between 3218 to 3226, the market may go further down but may rebounce back . If you make enough profits here, just lock them up! This will be more prominent if the market opens more nearer to the lower end of the 3236 to 3274 level.
2) If the market opens between 3274 to 3284. Buy after the market has passed the level between 3284 to 3290. If these levels are broken the market may go up further and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
3) If the market opens between 3226 to 3236. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 3218 to 3226. The market may fall further down but it may rebounce back.
4) If the market opens between 3284 to 3310. Buy here - to be safe, let the market falls a bit and buy after the market has moved up and beat 3 points above the opening point.
5) If the market opens between 3200 to 3226. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls passing 3 points the opening level. If the market opens and moves up in a fast way, the market may go further up.
6) If the market open above 3310. It is your call. If the market moves up and beats the level between 3336 to 3343, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today.
7) If the market opens below 3200. It is your call. I don't know man but I think the market may ends a white bar.
8) If the market opens at any point and manages to beat the level between 3336 to 3343, the market may go further up especially if the market opens nearer to this level.
9) You can also look for a very clear pattern of trendlines to place your position
10) Please refer to #9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
11) Also refer to #9 and #10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it, I may be wrong.....blah..blah...If you are not sure, do contact your broker but never contact your land lord ( if you have one ). He/she may like to raise the rent of your house
Have a nice trading day!!!!
12.30 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October's contract open at 3320 and closed at 3260 yesterday. The highest was at 3335 and the lowest was at 3197.
The market open not within the forecasted analysis as put forward yesterday, so theoritically, there was no money made yesterday. Anyway, if you look at the trendlines, there was quite a clear pattern of 3 bottoms which occured at about 12.00 noon. Those who are not familiar with 2 or 3 bottoms are advised not to use this method as it may add to confusion at times.
Today
In a very short term, the market is still in bearish position. Anyway the direction of the market today may depend on the opening point ;
1) If the market opens between 3236 to 3274. Sell after the market has moved up between 9 to 20 points after opening of the market. Be careful if the market manages to beat up the level between 3284 to 3290, the market may go further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day. This may be prominent if the opening is nearer to the upper end of the 3236 to 3274 level.Also careful, if the market, after opening, starts to move up in a very fast and in steep gradient and if this happens the market may continue to go up further or it could also be a false alarm.
If the market manages to break down the level between 3218 to 3226, the market may go further down but may rebounce back . If you make enough profits here, just lock them up! This will be more prominent if the market opens more nearer to the lower end of the 3236 to 3274 level.
2) If the market opens between 3274 to 3284. Buy after the market has passed the level between 3284 to 3290. If these levels are broken the market may go up further and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
3) If the market opens between 3226 to 3236. Sell after the market has passed down the level between 3218 to 3226. The market may fall further down but it may rebounce back.
4) If the market opens between 3284 to 3310. Buy here - to be safe, let the market falls a bit and buy after the market has moved up and beat 3 points above the opening point.
5) If the market opens between 3200 to 3226. Sell after the market has moved up a bit and then falls passing 3 points the opening level. If the market opens and moves up in a fast way, the market may go further up.
6) If the market open above 3310. It is your call. If the market moves up and beats the level between 3336 to 3343, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today.
7) If the market opens below 3200. It is your call. I don't know man but I think the market may ends a white bar.
8) If the market opens at any point and manages to beat the level between 3336 to 3343, the market may go further up especially if the market opens nearer to this level.
9) You can also look for a very clear pattern of trendlines to place your position
10) Please refer to #9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
11) Also refer to #9 and #10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
That's about it, I may be wrong.....blah..blah...If you are not sure, do contact your broker but never contact your land lord ( if you have one ). He/she may like to raise the rent of your house
Have a nice trading day!!!!
Monday's Direction Today
Monday - 21 July 2008
9.15 a.m. - Malaysian Time
10.00 a.m. - a little bit of updating
10.10 a.m. - Another updating, to correct wrong figures
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October's contract open at 3397 and closed at 3392 on last Friday. The highest was at 3405 and the lowest was at 3358. It was a black bar and in a form of a hammer ( according to Japanese candle stick ). So no comment on that.
Today?
Last Friday, the market ended with a black bar and a hammer candle was formed. According to Japanese candle stick, it indicates that the market is in the reversal pattern. In Japanese candle stick, there are 3 types of candles which are of interest to most of the day traders which are beleived to be able to give about 75% accuracy. These are the Hammer or Hangging Man, Engulfing Bar, Dark Cloud Cover or Piercing Bar. Anyway, the realism of the reversal pattern would also depend on the opening of the market on the next session. Here are my forecast for today;
1) If the market opens between 3363 to 3393. Buy after the market has moved up and beat the level between 3393 to 3399. The market may move further up if the level between 3405 to 3410 are broken and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
If the market moves down and beats the level between 3350 to 3358, sell here as the market may go further down but it may be short lived, the market may rebounce back. If you manage to make enough profits, lock it up quickly!
2) If the market opens between 3394 to 3406. Wait the market to fall a bit and buy after the market has moved up beating the 3 points above the opening point or if after opening, the market do not retrace not even a bit, buy after the market has beaten the level between 3405 to 3410. See also #1 ( the bold letters ).
3) If the market opens between 3405 to 3430. Buy here - for safety purposes, wait the market to fall a bit and buy after the market has moved up again and beat the opening point.
4) If the market opens above 3430. It is your call. I don't know, really.
5) If the market opens below 3350.It is your call, I don't know , really.
6) If you are not sure, you can look for a clear pattern of trendlines such as 3 tops/ bottoms etc
7) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
8) Also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
Well, tha's it. If not sure , do contact your broker but never to contact your .......blah,blah
Enjoy your trading !!!
9.15 a.m. - Malaysian Time
10.00 a.m. - a little bit of updating
10.10 a.m. - Another updating, to correct wrong figures
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for October's contract open at 3397 and closed at 3392 on last Friday. The highest was at 3405 and the lowest was at 3358. It was a black bar and in a form of a hammer ( according to Japanese candle stick ). So no comment on that.
Today?
Last Friday, the market ended with a black bar and a hammer candle was formed. According to Japanese candle stick, it indicates that the market is in the reversal pattern. In Japanese candle stick, there are 3 types of candles which are of interest to most of the day traders which are beleived to be able to give about 75% accuracy. These are the Hammer or Hangging Man, Engulfing Bar, Dark Cloud Cover or Piercing Bar. Anyway, the realism of the reversal pattern would also depend on the opening of the market on the next session. Here are my forecast for today;
1) If the market opens between 3363 to 3393. Buy after the market has moved up and beat the level between 3393 to 3399. The market may move further up if the level between 3405 to 3410 are broken and a white bar may be formed today or at least in the early part of the trading day.
If the market moves down and beats the level between 3350 to 3358, sell here as the market may go further down but it may be short lived, the market may rebounce back. If you manage to make enough profits, lock it up quickly!
2) If the market opens between 3394 to 3406. Wait the market to fall a bit and buy after the market has moved up beating the 3 points above the opening point or if after opening, the market do not retrace not even a bit, buy after the market has beaten the level between 3405 to 3410. See also #1 ( the bold letters ).
3) If the market opens between 3405 to 3430. Buy here - for safety purposes, wait the market to fall a bit and buy after the market has moved up again and beat the opening point.
4) If the market opens above 3430. It is your call. I don't know, really.
5) If the market opens below 3350.It is your call, I don't know , really.
6) If you are not sure, you can look for a clear pattern of trendlines such as 3 tops/ bottoms etc
7) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26th June )
8) Also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1st July )
Well, tha's it. If not sure , do contact your broker but never to contact your .......blah,blah
Enjoy your trading !!!
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Today?
Thursday - 10 July 2008
8.45 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September's contract open at 3470 and closed at 3515 yesterday. The highest was at 3521 and the lowest was at 3439.
If you refer to my forecast yesterday ( see # 1 ), the opening was at 3470 and about 20 points from 3490 ( see # 1 ) , so you have 2 options here ; either to sell or stay away from the market :
1) Had you decided to enter the market , say by shorting at at 3477 - 7 points from opening with 10 to 15 points stop loss or at any points between 7 to 10 points from opening level - you probably would have made some good profits ( the market then fell to the lowest level at 3439 before climbing up again to close to almost the highest of the day ).
2) Had you decided to stay away from the market as you were not sure whether the market might move up to beat the level between 3490 to 3497 or not ( which indicated the market might go further up - in fact it did in the afternoon ) then you would be just fine. Don't worry, be happy ( just like a song in the 90's )
As for today, you just figure it out.
Have a nice trading moment today
8.45 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September's contract open at 3470 and closed at 3515 yesterday. The highest was at 3521 and the lowest was at 3439.
If you refer to my forecast yesterday ( see # 1 ), the opening was at 3470 and about 20 points from 3490 ( see # 1 ) , so you have 2 options here ; either to sell or stay away from the market :
1) Had you decided to enter the market , say by shorting at at 3477 - 7 points from opening with 10 to 15 points stop loss or at any points between 7 to 10 points from opening level - you probably would have made some good profits ( the market then fell to the lowest level at 3439 before climbing up again to close to almost the highest of the day ).
2) Had you decided to stay away from the market as you were not sure whether the market might move up to beat the level between 3490 to 3497 or not ( which indicated the market might go further up - in fact it did in the afternoon ) then you would be just fine. Don't worry, be happy ( just like a song in the 90's )
As for today, you just figure it out.
Have a nice trading moment today
Wednesday, July 9, 2008
Wednesday's Heading
Wednesday - 9 July 2008
9.30 a.m. - Malayisian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September's contract open at 3477 and closed at 3454 yesterday. The highest was at 3534 and the lowest was at 3454. No comment on that
Today
In medium term, the market is bearish, so is the very very short term. My forecast for today is as follows;
1) If the market opens between the level 3454 to 3480. Sell if the market moves up between 7 to 10 points from opening point. Becareful here, the market is now below 3480 which indicates that the market may go up sooner or later and if this happens especially after beating up the level between 3490 to 3497 , the market may end a white bar today. If you are not sure, just stay away from the market.
2) If the market opens between 3480 to 3490. Buy after the market has moved up and passed the level between 3490 to 3597.The market may go up further if the level between 3535 to 3560 are broken.
3) If the market opens between 3490 to 3518. Buy after the market has retraced a bit after opening or/and after the market has moved up between 5 to 10 points from the opening point. The market may move further up if the level between 3535 to 3560 are to be broken.
4) If the market opens above 3518. Please refer to the bold leters as at #3
5) If the market opens below 3454. It is your call. The market may go up today but I don't know where to suggest for the buy position.
6) You can also look for a clear pattern of 2 or 3 bottoms to long especially if the market has passed down the level 3454.
7) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26 June )
8) Please also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1 July )
Well, that's about it. If not sure , contact your broker and never refer to any blogger ( including me? )
Have a nice trading day
9.30 a.m. - Malayisian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September's contract open at 3477 and closed at 3454 yesterday. The highest was at 3534 and the lowest was at 3454. No comment on that
Today
In medium term, the market is bearish, so is the very very short term. My forecast for today is as follows;
1) If the market opens between the level 3454 to 3480. Sell if the market moves up between 7 to 10 points from opening point. Becareful here, the market is now below 3480 which indicates that the market may go up sooner or later and if this happens especially after beating up the level between 3490 to 3497 , the market may end a white bar today. If you are not sure, just stay away from the market.
2) If the market opens between 3480 to 3490. Buy after the market has moved up and passed the level between 3490 to 3597.The market may go up further if the level between 3535 to 3560 are broken.
3) If the market opens between 3490 to 3518. Buy after the market has retraced a bit after opening or/and after the market has moved up between 5 to 10 points from the opening point. The market may move further up if the level between 3535 to 3560 are to be broken.
4) If the market opens above 3518. Please refer to the bold leters as at #3
5) If the market opens below 3454. It is your call. The market may go up today but I don't know where to suggest for the buy position.
6) You can also look for a clear pattern of 2 or 3 bottoms to long especially if the market has passed down the level 3454.
7) Please refer to # 9 ( Thursday's Tips dated 26 June )
8) Please also refer to # 9 and # 10 ( Tuesday's Tips dated 1 July )
Well, that's about it. If not sure , contact your broker and never refer to any blogger ( including me? )
Have a nice trading day
Thursday, July 3, 2008
Thursday is Only a Day
Thursday - 3 July 2008
8.40 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) futures' contract for September open at 3595 and closed at 3616. The highest was at 3626 and the lowest was at 3581.
Sorry Mike, yesterday there was an error on my yesterday's forecast ( see #2 & # 3), the number 3515 should have been written as 3615. Sorry again it was unintentional.( Those who have been following my blog may probably have noticed this )
The market open at 3595 at 10.30 a.m. , moved up a bit and fell to the level at 3581 (the lowest of the day ) and a few minutes later it moved up again ,at about 10.45 a.m., to the the level at 3621 just before the lunch break. If you look at my forecast yesterday ( see #2 - Buy after the market has dropped a bit or / and after the market has moved up a bit ), had you bought at, say at 10 points below the opening level or at 10 points above the opening level, you could have made quite a good profits. If you decided to buy at 10 points above the opening, you have to be extra careful as it was already at 12.00 p.m. As a day trader, you have only half an hour to trade before the lunch time. As for the trendlines, there was no clear pattern of 2 or 3 tops or head & shoulder or any other patterns.
Today
Sorry Mike, no forecasting for today
Anything, consult your broker....but becareful if you broker is a young guy. He may have been there just only a few months and he is already talking about fututres ? And advising you ?
Have a nice trading day.....
8.40 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) futures' contract for September open at 3595 and closed at 3616. The highest was at 3626 and the lowest was at 3581.
Sorry Mike, yesterday there was an error on my yesterday's forecast ( see #2 & # 3), the number 3515 should have been written as 3615. Sorry again it was unintentional.( Those who have been following my blog may probably have noticed this )
The market open at 3595 at 10.30 a.m. , moved up a bit and fell to the level at 3581 (the lowest of the day ) and a few minutes later it moved up again ,at about 10.45 a.m., to the the level at 3621 just before the lunch break. If you look at my forecast yesterday ( see #2 - Buy after the market has dropped a bit or / and after the market has moved up a bit ), had you bought at, say at 10 points below the opening level or at 10 points above the opening level, you could have made quite a good profits. If you decided to buy at 10 points above the opening, you have to be extra careful as it was already at 12.00 p.m. As a day trader, you have only half an hour to trade before the lunch time. As for the trendlines, there was no clear pattern of 2 or 3 tops or head & shoulder or any other patterns.
Today
Sorry Mike, no forecasting for today
Anything, consult your broker....but becareful if you broker is a young guy. He may have been there just only a few months and he is already talking about fututres ? And advising you ?
Have a nice trading day.....
Wednesday, July 2, 2008
Wednesday's Direction
Wednesday - 2 July 2008
9.35 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) futures for September contract open at 3624 and closed at 3575 yesterday. The highest was at 3624 and the lowest was at 3560.
Yesterday the market open at 3524 but it did not go up beating the level 3630 to 3637. So theoritically, there was no money made and also no money 'lost' yesterday. In fact, after opening, the market fell in a sharp gradient about 40 points from the opening point. In normal circumtances, if this happens the market would normally do not up again to pass the opening point, at least in the early part of the trading day. The market also did pass down the level between 3572 to 3580 ( see # 1 ) and it also did go down further but moved up again after touching 3560 ( about 20 points from the level 3572 to 3580 ). But because the opening of the market was quite high , so it was not adviseable to sell at this level ( at 3572 to 2580 ). There was quite clear pattern of trendlines ( 2 bottoms ) that occured at about 11.00 a.m. ( at 3560 ) but had a buy position been taken here , you would probably may have lost some money here ( about 6 points ).
Today
So how about today ? In a very very short term, the market is still bearish ;
1) If the market opens between 3570 to 3580. Buy after the market has passed the level 3590 to 3596. The market may go up further and a white bar is expected to be formed today especially if it manages to pass the level 3625 to 3630.
Sell if the market manages to pass down the level between 3563 to 3570 but the market may rebounce back in a short time. If the market manages to pass the level 3560 and below, look for a clear pattern of trendlines ( 2 bottoms ) to long.
2) If the market opens between the level 3590 to 3515. Buy after the market has droped a 'bit' or / and after the market has moved up a 'bit'. See bold letter as at #1 above
3) If the market opens above 3515. I don't know, man , it is your call but if the market manages to beat the level 3625 to 3630, the market may go up further and a white bar may be formed today.
4) If the market opens between the level 3543 to 3570. Sell after the market has moved up a 'bit' or / and after the market has fallen down a 'bit'. The market may rebounce back trying to pass the level 3590.
5) If the market opens below 3543. I don't know, it is your call. If , after opening, the market opens and moves up in a fast and sharp gradient, ( you can long here - if not sure just forget it ) , the market may end a white bar or at least in the early part of the trading day.
6) Please refer to my posting on last thursday ( see #9)
7) Please refer to # 9 on yesterday's forecast
8) Please refer to # 10 on yesterday's forecast
Well, that's about it, my forecast in brief ( is it brief ? ). If not sure contact your broker, it is just a matter of forecasting, I may be right or may be wrong...... blah..blah.
Have a nice day!
9.35 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) futures for September contract open at 3624 and closed at 3575 yesterday. The highest was at 3624 and the lowest was at 3560.
Yesterday the market open at 3524 but it did not go up beating the level 3630 to 3637. So theoritically, there was no money made and also no money 'lost' yesterday. In fact, after opening, the market fell in a sharp gradient about 40 points from the opening point. In normal circumtances, if this happens the market would normally do not up again to pass the opening point, at least in the early part of the trading day. The market also did pass down the level between 3572 to 3580 ( see # 1 ) and it also did go down further but moved up again after touching 3560 ( about 20 points from the level 3572 to 3580 ). But because the opening of the market was quite high , so it was not adviseable to sell at this level ( at 3572 to 2580 ). There was quite clear pattern of trendlines ( 2 bottoms ) that occured at about 11.00 a.m. ( at 3560 ) but had a buy position been taken here , you would probably may have lost some money here ( about 6 points ).
Today
So how about today ? In a very very short term, the market is still bearish ;
1) If the market opens between 3570 to 3580. Buy after the market has passed the level 3590 to 3596. The market may go up further and a white bar is expected to be formed today especially if it manages to pass the level 3625 to 3630.
Sell if the market manages to pass down the level between 3563 to 3570 but the market may rebounce back in a short time. If the market manages to pass the level 3560 and below, look for a clear pattern of trendlines ( 2 bottoms ) to long.
2) If the market opens between the level 3590 to 3515. Buy after the market has droped a 'bit' or / and after the market has moved up a 'bit'. See bold letter as at #1 above
3) If the market opens above 3515. I don't know, man , it is your call but if the market manages to beat the level 3625 to 3630, the market may go up further and a white bar may be formed today.
4) If the market opens between the level 3543 to 3570. Sell after the market has moved up a 'bit' or / and after the market has fallen down a 'bit'. The market may rebounce back trying to pass the level 3590.
5) If the market opens below 3543. I don't know, it is your call. If , after opening, the market opens and moves up in a fast and sharp gradient, ( you can long here - if not sure just forget it ) , the market may end a white bar or at least in the early part of the trading day.
6) Please refer to my posting on last thursday ( see #9)
7) Please refer to # 9 on yesterday's forecast
8) Please refer to # 10 on yesterday's forecast
Well, that's about it, my forecast in brief ( is it brief ? ). If not sure contact your broker, it is just a matter of forecasting, I may be right or may be wrong...... blah..blah.
Have a nice day!
Tuesday, July 1, 2008
Tuesday's Tips
Tuesday - 1 July 2008
9.55 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September contract open at 3601 and closed at 3598. The highest was at 3629 and the lowest was at 3580.
As I mentioned in my last Friday posting, the market would make a new direction again if the level 3575 were to be broken. In fact, the market managed to break the level and settled above 3590 on that particular day itself.
Today
In a ver very short term, I would say that the market is bearish. My forecast for today are as follows;
1) If the market opens between the level between 3590 to 3620. Sell after the market has moved up a "bit' after opening. If the market manages to beat up the level between 3630 to 3637, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least a part of the trading day today. This would be promising if the market opens more towards the upper end of the level between 3590 to 3620. If the market opens and beats down the level between 3572 to 3580, the market may retrace further down.This would be more promising if the market opens more towards the lower end of the level between 3590 to 3620.
2) If the market open between 3620 to 3630. Buy after market has moved up beating the level3630 to 3637 ( see the bold letters as in #1 )
3) If the market opens between the level between 3580 to 3590. Sell if the market has beaten down the level between 3572 to 3580 ( see also the italic bold letters as in #1as above )
4) If the market opens between the level 3630 to 3657. Buy after the market opens and falls a "bit" or buy after the market has fallen a "bit" and moved up 3 points above the opening level.
5) If the market opens between the level 3555 to 3580. Sell after the market opens and moves up a "bit" or sell after the market has moved a "bit" and falls down 3 points after opening level.
6) If the market opens above 3657. I don't know, it is your call
7) If the market opens below 3555. It is up to you, your call.
8) Please refer to my last posting on Thursday's Tips ( see #9)
9) If , after opening, the market moves up /down in a very fast and in a big distance without moving up/down back to pass up/down the opening level, the market may give a signal that it would continue its direction, just be careful.
10) The word "bit" is relatif, please refer to my previous postings
That's about it. If not sure contact your broker/dealer.
Have a nice trading day ahead.
9.55 a.m. - Malaysian Time
The CPO ( crude palm oil ) for September contract open at 3601 and closed at 3598. The highest was at 3629 and the lowest was at 3580.
As I mentioned in my last Friday posting, the market would make a new direction again if the level 3575 were to be broken. In fact, the market managed to break the level and settled above 3590 on that particular day itself.
Today
In a ver very short term, I would say that the market is bearish. My forecast for today are as follows;
1) If the market opens between the level between 3590 to 3620. Sell after the market has moved up a "bit' after opening. If the market manages to beat up the level between 3630 to 3637, the market may move further up and a white bar may be formed today or at least a part of the trading day today. This would be promising if the market opens more towards the upper end of the level between 3590 to 3620. If the market opens and beats down the level between 3572 to 3580, the market may retrace further down.This would be more promising if the market opens more towards the lower end of the level between 3590 to 3620.
2) If the market open between 3620 to 3630. Buy after market has moved up beating the level3630 to 3637 ( see the bold letters as in #1 )
3) If the market opens between the level between 3580 to 3590. Sell if the market has beaten down the level between 3572 to 3580 ( see also the italic bold letters as in #1as above )
4) If the market opens between the level 3630 to 3657. Buy after the market opens and falls a "bit" or buy after the market has fallen a "bit" and moved up 3 points above the opening level.
5) If the market opens between the level 3555 to 3580. Sell after the market opens and moves up a "bit" or sell after the market has moved a "bit" and falls down 3 points after opening level.
6) If the market opens above 3657. I don't know, it is your call
7) If the market opens below 3555. It is up to you, your call.
8) Please refer to my last posting on Thursday's Tips ( see #9)
9) If , after opening, the market moves up /down in a very fast and in a big distance without moving up/down back to pass up/down the opening level, the market may give a signal that it would continue its direction, just be careful.
10) The word "bit" is relatif, please refer to my previous postings
That's about it. If not sure contact your broker/dealer.
Have a nice trading day ahead.
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